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However, in my experience the vast majority of brilliant nerds way overextend themselves, and are much too confident outside their domain. They're also much more likely to be jerks and will tumble from conflict to conflict until they get their way by attrition or status. Conflicts are strangely more personal because so much ego is tied up into it. They're more likely to assume they're right in every (non-tech/science related) situation.

Status is immensely important. people who have status or convey it can get away with being wrong or espousing falsehoods and will not be called on on it. If anyone is guilty of speaking outside of his or her expertise and spreading bullshit, it is likely not going to be the nerd.


I was never under any presupposition the problem was mine. Even when I act as normal as possible I still get rejection. It was always others. Fortunately I occupy a financial situation where that does not matter anymore. Embracing the weird nerd is better than trying to conform and not succeeding or being inauthentic.

brains are complicated but so is behavior. maybe the second is more complicated due to unpredictability.

You have to be good, and also care, which is like effort. a lot of young people care or put effort into playing sports but most do not have the talent to make a living at it.

"Average intelligence and persistence has accomplished much more than genius"

For hard problems, high IQ is necessary but still insufficient. You are not going to solve a hard math problem with average IQ no matter how much persistence you throw at it.


> You are not going to solve a hard math problem with average IQ no matter how much persistence you throw at it.

I'm inclined to disagree, but there's an important piece here that I've found when solving problems that were at least hard for me: sometimes I can get hung up on making a particular approach work when it's not going to and what I need to do is back up and find a different angle of attack.

For example if you're solving a hard math problem with little math knowledge and average IQ, if you're really passionate and persistent about it, then you'd realize you first need to learn more math to build your understanding of the domain. IQ/persistence in this case is not really about the problem itself, but more about the problem-solving process itself.


Not a surprise. As it turns out, extracurriculars and 'holistic admissions' has a stronger selection effect for SES-status compared to standardized tests. Yes, even if tests can be coached, the student still has to take it under supervised conditions.

Was eliminating SAT/ACT requirements meant to be permanent in the first place, or did they just not trust the 2020-22 results? Stanford's statement here was more about covid19 issues: https://stanforddaily.com/2020/06/17/standardized-testing-no...

But UC was saying the test is unfair etc.


so much for this earlier article https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40400052

Lilly last year had to limit shipments of Mounjaro in Japan, where it’s approved for treating diabetes, amid a supply crunch. The medicine was also approved for weight loss last year in the US under the brand name Zepbound. A steady ramp up of manufacturing capacity, with investments totaling $18 billion since 2020, is starting to ease the constraint, Simone Thomsen, the company’s Japan president told Bloomberg TV on Thursday.

Just more fake news. The actual reason is not due to Japan's culture, walking, indefatigable willpower, or shaming--but more mundane reasons like Eli Lilly not actually shipping the drug to Japan. I guess that makes sense, or in invoking Occam's Razor, is a more parsimonious explanation instead of having to invent an entire cultural narrative to account for Japan not using the drug. I too was duped by Johann Hari, which does not give me much confidence in any of his other work or of Time Magazine for publishing this fake news. This is why you have to always be skeptical of narratives.


It's working absolutely stupendously today. btc down 4% vs flat market. I dunno why this works so well but it does, especially on Fridays. There must be some hedge fund or other entity that chooses Friday to liquidate its Bitcoin holdings.

This is nuts. like a replay of 2021 again. A lot of people expected Kitty's return would fizzle out two week ago. It looks like he has staying power. There was much critcism in 2021 that the regulators stepped in to protect hedge funds that lost money shorting GME, but then those same regulators seem content watching the exact same thing replay in 2024.

'Meme investing' change everything. In the past, activists would have to present a case to Wall St. as to why a stock was mispriced. This typically would cause a small and short-lived movement of the stock, but meme-induced gains are much bigger and last much longer as the media and retail investors fan the flames of the hype, which builds on itself until reaching a crescendo weeks later.


This is why waiting for pullbacks and comparisons between today and the past bubbles are unhelpful. History rhymes but seldom repeats.

The pullback was in autumn of 2022.

This is why waiting for pullbacks does not always work. Sometime you will never get a chance to buy lower, as prices keep going up to no end. And then when the correctio nodes come, it will never fall low enough that you will ever be able to buy at the original price you wanted to buy at. You have to hold your nose and buy. For every comparison between today's tech boom and the early 2000s, you have situations like NVDA where prices keep going up without the long-awaited crash.

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